Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.235642 0.251023 0.267209 0.285564 0.305866 0.327710 0.353089
2025-02-16 0.195926 0.217771 0.242295 0.272125 0.307789 0.349527 0.402782
2025-02-23 0.172506 0.197911 0.227871 0.266395 0.315515 0.377362 0.463390
2025-03-02 0.155263 0.182436 0.215713 0.260423 0.320521 0.401071 0.522160
2025-03-09 0.142793 0.171056 0.206752 0.256515 0.326526 0.425775 0.586262
2025-03-16 0.132890 0.161753 0.199156 0.252964 0.331751 0.449241 0.652759
2025-03-23 0.127365 0.157492 0.197550 0.257053 0.347885 0.490925 0.758669
2025-03-30 0.120177 0.150354 0.191256 0.253512 0.351677 0.513172 0.835706
2025-04-06 0.112572 0.142082 0.182667 0.245604 0.347384 0.520764 0.886103
2025-04-13 0.105871 0.134636 0.174696 0.237840 0.342261 0.525823 0.932397
2025-04-20 0.102553 0.131720 0.173020 0.239553 0.352982 0.561299 1.057150
2025-04-27 0.100337 0.130207 0.173240 0.244185 0.369161 0.610071 1.233385
2025-05-04 0.096547 0.126306 0.169771 0.242760 0.374818 0.639893 1.377715
2025-05-11 0.092543 0.121922 0.165349 0.239474 0.376836 0.662991 1.517197
2025-05-18 0.089157 0.118290 0.161873 0.237508 0.381161 0.692348 1.695496
2025-05-25 0.085586 0.114205 0.157441 0.233505 0.380980 0.711290 1.851638
2025-06-01 0.082520 0.110739 0.153788 0.230567 0.382568 0.734964 2.044873
2025-06-08 0.079695 0.107510 0.150329 0.227681 0.383877 0.758275 2.257827
2025-06-15 0.078371 0.106521 0.150426 0.231229 0.399225 0.822719 2.734145
2025-06-22 0.075867 0.103581 0.147144 0.228225 0.399836 0.846330 3.028235
2025-06-29 0.072810 0.099659 0.142053 0.221464 0.391282 0.841351 3.149471
2025-07-06 0.069940 0.095943 0.137160 0.214806 0.382361 0.833806 3.253613
2025-07-13 0.068705 0.094779 0.136516 0.216278 0.392474 0.888119 3.888158